PERSPECTIVES OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF TOURIST FLOWS BETWEEN CHINA AND RUSSIA

Abstract

The article analyzes the current state of mutual tourist flows between China and Russia. The economic importance of tourism in the economy of China and Russia, the contribution of tourism to the formation of the country's GDP and the expenses of tourists on a trip are indicated. The dynamics of visits is graphically shown and the economic situation in countries is assessed, which contributes to the development of entries and exits from them. It is determined that the number of tourists from China to Russia is 39% of the total number of visits. Based on the significance, the task of studying the current situation and prospects for further development is determined. Based on the assessment of the analytical situation in the future, using mathematical methods, forecasts are made for 2019 and 2020, respectively, for each country. To improve the calculation accuracy is determined by the confidence interval, which is obtained according to optimistic and pessimistic figures in several flows of travel. Based on the values obtained, conclusions are drawn on the prospects for the development of tourism relations between countries. Particular attention is paid to projects implemented in Russia for Chinese tourists - “Red Route” and “China Friendly”. Further implementation of these projects will create a comfortable environment for Chinese citizens to stay in Russia.